Natural Gas Weekly Update (2024)

Natural Gas Weekly Update (1)

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Natural Gas Weekly Update

for week ending June 5, 2024 |Release date:June 6, 2024 |Next release:June 13, 2024 | Previous weeks

JUMP TO:Prices |Supply and Demand |Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) |Rig Count |Storage |Other Market Drivers

Note: Beginning June 11, 2024, we will publish the shale gas tight oil production data in the Short-Term Energy Outlook data tables.

Today in Energy

Recent Today in Energy analysis of natural gas markets is available on the EIA website.

Market Highlights:

(For the week ending Wednesday, June 5, 2024)

Prices

  • Henry Hub spot price: The Henry Hub spot price rose 1 cent from $2.21 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) last Wednesday to $2.22/MMBtu yesterday.
  • Henry Hub futures price: The July 2024 NYMEX contract price increased to $2.757/MMBtu, up 9 cents from last Wednesday to yesterday. The price of the 12-month strip averaging July 2024 through June 2025 futures contracts also climbed 9 cents to $3.223/MMBtu.
  • Select regional spot prices: Natural gas spot prices increased across most major trading hubs this report week (Wednesday, May 29 to Wednesday, June 5). Price changes ranged from a decrease of 16 cents at the PG&E Citygate to an increase of 44 cents at Northwest Sumas.
    • Prices across the Northeast rose slightly this report week. At the Algonquin Citygate, which serves Boston-area consumers, the price rose 6 cents from $1.49/MMBtu last Wednesday to $1.55/MMBtu yesterday. The price at Eastern Gas South in southwest Pennsylvania, near Appalachian region producing activities, increased 9 cents from $1.28/MMBtu last Wednesday to $1.37/MMBtu yesterday. Weekly average temperatures in the Boston Area fell 3°F this week to 66°F, which is 3°F above normal, resulting in 19 cooling degree days (CDD) and 12 heating degree days (HDD). Average temperatures in the Pittsburgh Area fell 3°F this report week to 67°F, or 1°F above normal, leading to 13 HDDs and 26 CDDs. Natural gas consumption in the Appalachia region rose 8%, or 0.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) this report week, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights, driven by increased consumption in both the electric power sector (0.3 Bcf/d) and in the industrial sector (0.2 Bcf/d).
    • Price changes on the West Coast were mixed this report week. The price at Northwest Sumas on the Canada-Washington border, the main pricing point for natural gas in the Pacific Northwest, rose 44 cents from $1.03/MMBtu last Wednesday to $1.47/MMBtu yesterday. Temperatures in the Seattle City Area rose 3°F this report week but remained 2°F below normal, resulting in 48 HDDs, down from 68 HDDs the previous week. The price at SoCal Citygate in Southern California increased 32 cents from $1.41/MMBtu last Wednesday to $1.73/MMBtu yesterday. Temperatures in the Riverside Area, east of Los Angeles, rose 3°F this report week to 69°F, resulting in 31 CDDs, up from 9 CDDs last report week but 7 CDDs below normal. The price at PG&E Citygate in Northern California fell 16 cents, down from $2.02/MMBtu last Wednesday to $1.86/MMBtu yesterday. Total natural gas consumption in California rose 6% (0.2 Bcf/d) this report week, driven by a 48% increase (0.4 Bcf/d) in electric power sector consumption, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights.
    • The price at the Waha Hub in West Texas, which is located near Permian Basin production activities, rose 31 cents this report week, from $0.36/MMBtu last Wednesday to $0.67/MMBtu yesterday. The Waha Hub traded $1.55 below the Henry Hub price yesterday, compared with last Wednesday when it traded $1.85 below the Henry Hub price. The Waha price reached an intra-week low of -$0.19/MMBtu on May 31. On May 24, the El Paso Natural Gas Company declared force majeure on Lines 30131/30148 near the Hobbs Power Plant delivery location in Lea County, New Mexico. Repairs began on May 29 and were completed on May 31.
    • Prices at FGT Citygate, the main pricing point for deliveries into Florida, remained highest among major trading hubs this report week. The price rose 6 cents from $4.08/MMBtu last Wednesday to $4.14/MMBtu yesterday. Average temperatures in the Orlando Area fell 2°F this week to 82°F, leading to 118 CDDs, 14 more CDDs than normal but 15 CDDs fewer than the previous report week. Natural gas consumption in the electric power sector along the Atlantic Coast region, which includes Florida, fell 6% (0.4 Bcf/d) this report week, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights.

    Daily spot prices by region are available on the EIA website.

  • International futures prices: International natural gas futures price changes were mixed this report week. According to Bloomberg Finance, L.P., weekly average front-month futures prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes in East Asia decreased 2 cents to a weekly average of $11.98/MMBtu. Natural gas futures for delivery at the Title Transfer Facility (TTF) in the Netherlands increased 14 cents to a weekly average of $11.00/MMBtu. In the same week last year (week ending June 7, 2023), the prices were $9.25/MMBtu in East Asia and $7.95/MMBtu at TTF.
  • Natural gas plant liquids (NGPL) prices: The natural gas plant liquids composite price at Mont Belvieu, Texas, fell by 37 cents/MMBtu, averaging $6.70/MMBtu for the week ending June 5. Ethane prices fell 5% week over week, while weekly average natural gas prices at the Houston Ship Channel decreased 3%, narrowing the ethane premium to natural gas by 1%. The ethylene spot price rose 3% week over week, and the ethylene premium to ethane increased 7%. Propane prices decreased 5%, while Brent crude oil prices decreased 4% week over week. The propane discount to crude oil decreased 3% for the week. Normal butane prices fell 5%, isobutane prices fell 8%, and natural gasoline prices fell 4%.

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Supply and Demand

  • Supply: According to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights, the average total supply of natural gas fell by 0.6% (0.7 Bcf/d) compared with the previous report week. Dry natural gas production decreased by 0.7% (0.7 Bcf/d), and average net imports from Canada increased by 1.5% (0.1 Bcf/d) from last week.
  • Demand: Total U.S. consumption of natural gas rose by 0.3% (0.2 Bcf/d) compared with the previous report week, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights. Natural gas consumed for power generation rose by 0.7% (0.2 Bcf/d) week over week. Industrial sector consumption increased by 1.3% (0.3 Bcf/d) and residential and commercial consumption declined by 3.5% (0.3 Bcf/d). Natural gas exports to Mexico decreased 2.9% (0.2 Bcf/d). Natural gas deliveries to U.S. LNG export facilities (LNG pipeline receipts) averaged 13.2 Bcf/d, or 0.2 Bcf/d higher than last week.

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Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

  • Pipeline receipts: Average natural gas deliveries to U.S. LNG export terminals increased 0.2 Bcf/d from last week to 13.2 Bcf/d, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights. Natural gas deliveries to terminals in South Louisiana increased 7% (0.5 Bcf/d) to 8.0 Bcf/d, while natural gas deliveries to terminals in South Texas decreased 4.5% (0.2 Bcf/d) to 4.0 Bcf/d. Natural gas deliveries to terminals outside the Gulf Coast averaged 1.2 Bcf/d this week, down from 1.3 Bcf/d the previous week.
  • Vessels departing U.S. ports: Twenty-six LNG vessels (eight from Sabine Pass; five from Freeport; four from Corpus Christi; three each from Calcasieu Pass and Cameron; two from Cove Point; and one from Elba Island) with a combined LNG-carrying capacity of 94 Bcf departed the United States between May 30 and June 5, according to shipping data provided by Bloomberg Finance, L.P.

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Rig Count

  • According to Baker Hughes, for the week ending Tuesday, May 28, the natural gas rig count increased by 1 rig to 100 rigs. The Marcellus added one rig. The number of oil-directed rigs fell by 1 rig to 496 rigs. The Ardmore Woodford added three rigs, the Eagle Ford added one rig, and one rig was added among unspecified producing basins. The Cana Woodford dropped four rigs, and the Permian dropped two rigs. The total rig count, which includes 4 miscellaneous rigs, was unchanged at 600 rigs, 96 rigs fewer than one year ago.

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Storage

  • Net injections into storage totaled 98 Bcf for the week ending May 31, compared with the five-year (2019–2023) average net injections of 103 Bcf and last year's net injections of 105 Bcf during the same week. Working natural gas stocks totaled 2,893 Bcf, which is 581 Bcf (25%) more than the five-year average and 373 Bcf (15%) more than last year at this time.
  • According to The Desk survey of natural gas analysts, estimates of the weekly net change to working natural gas stocks ranged from net injections of 79 Bcf to 97 Bcf, with a median estimate of 88 Bcf.
  • The average rate of injections into storage is 8% lower than the five-year average so far in the refill season (April through October). If the rate of injections into storage matched the five-year average of 9.2 Bcf/d for the remainder of the refill season, the total inventory would be 4,293 Bcf on October 31, which is 581 Bcf higher than the five-year average of 3,712 Bcf for that time of year.

More storage data and analysis can be found on the Natural Gas Storage Dashboard and the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report.

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See also:

  • Natural Gas Analysis Reports
  • Short-Term Energy Outlook

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  • Spot prices
  • Spot prices table
  • NYMEX prices
  • NGPL prices

Natural Gas Weekly Update (2)

Spot Prices ($/MMBtu)

Thu,
30-May

Fri,
31-May

Mon,
03-Jun

Tue,
04-Jun

Wed,
05-Jun

Henry Hub

1.90

1.77

2.64

2.57

2.22

New York

1.21

1.19

1.55

1.56

1.53

Chicago

1.38

1.18

1.56

1.63

1.68

Cal. Comp. Avg.*

1.43

1.10

1.40

1.75

1.66

*Avg. of NGI's reported prices for: Malin, PG&E Citygate, and Southern California Border Avg.
Data source: NGI's Daily Gas Price Index

Natural Gas Weekly Update (3)

Natural Gas Weekly Update (4)

  • Supply table
  • Demand table
  • Daily supply/demand graph
U.S. natural gas supply - Gas Week: (5/30/24 - 6/5/24)

Average daily values (billion cubic feet)

this week

last week

last year

Marketed production

112.9

113.8

116.6

Dry production

99.7

100.4

103.1

Net Canada imports

5.4

5.3

4.8

LNG pipeline deliveries

0.1

0.1

0.1

Total supply

105.1

105.8

107.9

Data source: S&P Global Commodity Insights
Note: This table reflects any data revisions that may have occurred since the previous week's posting. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) pipeline deliveries represent natural gas sendout from LNG import terminals.

U.S. natural gas consumption - Gas Week: (5/30/24 - 6/5/24)

Average daily values (billion cubic feet)

this week

last week

last year

U.S. consumption

67.0

66.8

68.4

Power

36.0

35.8

36.9

Industrial

21.8

21.5

21.7

Residential/commercial

9.2

9.5

9.7

Mexico exports

6.8

7.0

6.5

Pipeline fuel use/losses

8.5

8.6

8.9

LNG pipeline receipts

13.2

13.0

12.4

Total demand

95.5

95.4

96.2

Data source: S&P Global Commodity Insights
Note: This table reflects any data revisions that may have occurred since the previous week's posting. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) pipeline receipts represent pipeline deliveries to LNG export terminals.

Natural Gas Weekly Update (5)

  • Rigs graph
  • Rigs table

Natural Gas Weekly Update (6)

Rigs

Tue, May 28, 2024

Change from

last week

last year

Oil rigs

496

-0.2%

-10.6%

Natural gas rigs

100

1.0%

-27.0%

Note: Excludes any miscellaneous rigs
Rig numbers by type

Tue, May 28, 2024

Change from

last week

last year

Vertical

20

0.0%

25.0%

Horizontal

536

-0.2%

-14.6%

Directional

44

2.3%

-15.4%

Data source: Baker Hughes Company
  • Storage graph
  • Stocks table
  • History table
Working gas in underground storage

Stocks
billion cubic feet (Bcf)

Region

2024-05-31

2024-05-24

change

East

575

538

37

Midwest

681

652

29

Mountain

218

210

8

Pacific

273

267

6

South Central

1,146

1,128

18

Total

2,893

2,795

98

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Form EIA-912,Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage Report
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components because of independent rounding.
Working gas in underground storage

Historical comparisons

Year ago
5/31/23

5-year average
2019-2023

Region

Stocks (Bcf)

% change

Stocks (Bcf)

% change

East

543

5.9

458

25.5

Midwest

596

14.3

530

28.5

Mountain

134

62.7

130

67.7

Pacific

160

70.6

225

21.3

South Central

1,086

5.5

969

18.3

Total

2,520

14.8

2,312

25.1

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Form EIA-912,Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage Report
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components because of independent rounding.
  • Temperature table
  • Average temperature
  • Deviation from normal
Temperature – heating & cooling degree days (week ending May 30)

HDDs

CDDs

Region

Current total

Deviation from normal

Deviation from last year

Current total

Deviation from normal

Deviation from last year

New England

14

-24

-26

6

3

4

Middle Atlantic

9

-19

-19

14

4

13

E N Central

25

-9

-2

7

-11

-11

W N Central

28

-2

18

16

-8

-15

South Atlantic

2

-9

-17

71

18

38

E S Central

2

-7

-9

61

17

27

W S Central

-1

101

28

33

Mountain

42

-1

17

26

-5

3

Pacific

32

4

-7

1

-11

United States

19

-7

-5

35

4

12

Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: HDDs=heating degree days; CDDs=cooling degree days

Average temperature (°F)


7-day mean ending May 30, 2024

Natural Gas Weekly Update (7)

Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Deviation between average and normal temperature (°F)


7-day mean ending May 30, 2024

Natural Gas Weekly Update (8)

Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Natural Gas Weekly Update (9)

figure data

Natural Gas Weekly Update (2024)

FAQs

What time is the weekly natural gas storage report? ›

Changes in these gas inventories on a weekly basis primarily reflect net withdrawals or injections. The report is generally updated and available every Thursday at 10:30 am EST.

What is the prediction for natural gas prices? ›

In another report sent to Rigzone last month, BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, projected that the Henry Hub front month natural gas price will average $2.8 per MMBtu in 2024, $3.6 per MMBtu in 2025, $3.8 per MMBtu across 2026 and 2027, and $4.0 per MMBtu in 2028.

What is the forecast for natural gas consumption? ›

We expect about 11% more U.S. natural gas consumption for electricity in 2024 than the previous five-year average. In the residential and commercial sectors, colder temperatures in the winter also affect direct natural gas consumption by heating equipment.

What time is the natural gas inventory report today? ›

The standard release time and day of the week will be at 10:30 a.m. (Eastern time) on Thursdays with the following exceptions.

How long are our natural gas reserves expected to last? ›

Assuming the same annual rate of U.S. dry natural gas production in 2021 of about 34.52 Tcf, the United States has enough dry natural gas to last about 86 years.

Is natural gas bullish or bearish? ›

Positive. Strong U.S. GDP Growth is bullish for Natural Gas as demand for Natural Gas grows together with the economy.

Will natural gas prices go down in 2024? ›

According to the March 2024 Short-Term Energy Outlook, the Henry Hub spot price averaged $6.67 per Mcf in 2022 and $2.63 per Mcf in 2023. The sameforecast shows an average Henry Hub spot price of $2.36 per Mcf in 2024 and $3.06 per Mcf in 2025 (nominal prices).

Why is natural gas going down? ›

Natural gas prices (NG=F) are down nearly 40% year to date amid a glut in supply and a milder-than-expected winter. But analysts see an upside for the commodity going into the end of the year — in part due to growing electricity demand from artificial intelligence.

Will natural gas be phased out? ›

As California moves to become the first state to ban natural gas-powered space and water heaters by 2030, a growing debate about what the ban means for homeowners, and any potential expansion to other appliances, is kicking off.

What is the current spot price of natural gas? ›

Basic Info. Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price is at a current level of 2.43, down from 2.50 the previous market day and up from 2.13 one year ago. This is a change of -2.80% from the previous market day and 14.08% from one year ago. The Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price measures the price in US Dollar per 1 Million Btu.

What time of year is natural gas cheapest? ›

Though prices can fluctuate depending on supply/demand fundamentals, natural gas prices are often at their lowest during the fall and spring seasons.

Will natural gas stock go down? ›

ANZ Research forecast the LNG spot price to drop to an average of $32/MMBtu in 2023 and $23.5/MMBtu in 2024, compared with an estimated $36.8/MMBtu in 2022. The World Bank forecast US natural gas prices could average $6 in 2024. It expected European gas prices to trade at $28 in 2024, dropping from $40 in 2022.

What time is the EIA report today? ›

The EIA publishes its Weekly Petroleum Status Report on Wednesdays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time, but after a Monday holiday, it is released on Thursday. 7 The EIA report provides information on the supply of oil and the level of inventories of crude oil and refined products.

What is the natural gas storage report? ›

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week. While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector.

How long does natural gas last in storage? ›

Natural gas is a commodity that can be stored for an indefinite period of time in natural gas storage facilities for later consumption.

What is the maximum storage time for gasoline? ›

Regular gasoline has a shelf life of three to six months, while diesel can last up to a year before it begins to degrade. On the other hand, organic-based Ethanol can lose its combustibility in just one to three months due to oxidation and evaporation. Tracking the age of the fuel in your tank can be a challenge.

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